Table of Contents

The most recent whipsaw in long-term rates seems to have knocked the wind of many sails to end a dismal year in terms of performance.
How we got here
When the Fed started raising short-term interest rates they said it would lead to a recession. When the recession did not com...

 

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US Economy | Sahm Rule | A better recession indicator?

We a give brief background introduction to the Sahm Rule and examine whether claims of superior predictive powers in forecasting a recession are well