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US CPI | 4 scenarios & probability estimates

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US June CPI number

For the month of June 2023, the month-on-month (MoM) US CPI is expected to be +0.3% and the year-on-year (YoY) CPI is expected to be +3.1%.

Scenario analysis

Here are four possible scenarios to consider [with our subjective probability estimates]:&nbs...

 

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US CPI | 4 scenarios & probability estimates

We consider 4 possible outcomes for the June (2023) CPI number, together with our estimated probabilities and expected market impact. Downside inflation surprised more