JAPAN: Will Abe be able to pull off another comeback?
The ordinary session of the Diet closed on Wednesday, 17 June, with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s approval ratings at some of their lowest levels since he returned to power in 2012. Abe will try to position himself to call a snap election that could revive his fortunes, as h… Become a member to read […]
Argentina Economy: The Week at a Glance
Editorial: Unnecessary Noise The announcement that Vicentín was being expropriated made a lot of unnecessary noise in the economy. This could complicate both the short-term and medium-term outlook, the former because it could affect the debt restructuring and the latter due to th… Become a member to read the rest of this article
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: G20 debt moratorium initiative slowly gathering pace
To date, 22 sub-Saharan African countries have signed up for the G20 debt suspension initiative.A notable exception among eligible countries is Kenya, highlighting the sovereign’s alarm over potential credit rating downgrades and damage to market reputation.Attempts to secure co… Become a member to read the rest of this article
CHINA: Beijing outbreak tests effectiveness of half measures
Beijing has reported 137 new Covid-19 cases since 12 June, following 50 days of no new local cases. The latest incident will offer a test of whether partial lockdown measures can succeed in containing localized outbreaks. State media have suggested a link to imported sa… Become a member to read the rest of this […]
PORTUGAL: Trying to stay the course
Last week’s announcement by Mario Centeno that he would step down as finance minister will have a limited impact on the government’s economic policy outlook. His replacement by Secretary of State for the Budget Joao Leao signals Prime Minister Antonio Costa’s continued concerns a… Become a member to read the rest of this article
VENEZUELA: Successive strikes against opposition sign of economic unease
The regime is advancing its campaign to sideline genuine political adversaries and build a made-to-measure, cosmetic opposition in time for sham legislative elections before the end of 2020. The regime’s goal is to secure domestic political hegemony. The opposition led by Juan Gu… Become a member to read the rest of this article
POLAND: Duda remains favorite but Trzaskowski has momentum in presidential race
President Andrzej Duda will win the first round of the presidential election scheduled for 28 June. The incumbent, however, is unlikely to win an absolute majority of votes to a secure a first-round victory, which points to a highly competitive runoff on 12 July. Duda remains a f… Become a member to read the […]
EMERGING MARKETS: Elections, Political Risk & Reform Outlook
Our Emerging Markets (EMs) outlook table (click below on ‘View PDF’) summarizes the impact of elections in EMs over the next 12 months. Markets are ordered in accordance with the electoral calendar. Risk ratings are relative to each country, and not comparative across all count… Become a member to read the rest of this […]