On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Unemployment Rate for April, which will undoubtedly be the single ugliest economic statistic of my lifetime. We estimate that, based mainly on continuing unemployment claims, the number will come in at 15.5%. We also estimate that roughly 19 million Payroll Jobs were lost in the month.
December 6, 2021
JP Morgan Asset Management
Despite a disappointing gain in non-farm payrolls in November, numerous recent data points show an extraordinary excess demand for workers. This excess demand won’t persist forever. However, it’s important to…