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Latest publications
GERMANY: Budget 2021 – A glimpse at the fault lines of post-Merkel politics
( 3 mins read ) Press play to listen Chancellor Angela Merkel’s cabinet has signed off on the draft budget for 2021 as well as the medium-term fiscal plan until 2024. As national debt is expected to re-increase to around
EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching
( 6 mins read ) In this updated weekly piece, we provide snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the
Aggregate demand policy in a time of COVID
( 21 mins read ) Press play to listen Large increases in government expenditure generally necessitate restraint elsewhere However at present significant resources are lying idle: no such sacrifice is needed Hence increases in government exenditure currently need not be
MALAYSIA: Parsing Anwar’s claim that he has the numbers to become PM
( 3 mins read ) In a surprise, opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim announced midday today in Kuala Lumpur that he had the numbers to become prime minister and that he was seeking an audience with the Malaysian king. However, Anwar
EUROPE: CEE PULSE
( 4 mins read ) The Czech Republic is tightening restrictions and debating new economic support measures amid surging Covid-19 cases. In Poland, the three governing parties are deciding the fate of the United Right coalition. Romania’s parliament adopted a
SPAIN: Politics make a nationwide lockdown unlikely for now
( 3 mins read ) Despite the ongoing surge in Covid-19 cases across the country, the Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE)-Unidas Podemos government is unlikely to re-impose a nationwide lockdown anytime soon. As previously explained, Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez will continue
EUROPE: Alongside the virus, institutional capacity issues resurface
( 5 mins read ) Press play to listen Medical capacities The first and most immediate variant is the question of medical capacity. In a special briefing one day prior to the government’s statement, the UK’s chief scientific and medical
THAILAND: Tensions are rising and the ball is in Prayuth’s hands
( 6 mins read ) The government still seems to want to pursue a calibrated response to the protests, rather than suppression. There are possible two triggers for a hardline government response over the next few months: the continued increase
Argentina Economy: The Week at a Glance
( 12 mins read ) The Super Cepo outshined the Budget In another country this weekly editorial would inevitably be about the Budget. The Bill was presented last week. It has a realistic activity expectation, a too-high deficit, and a