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ECUADOR: Unstoppable force (Lasso) meets immovable object (National Assembly)

ECUADOR: Unstoppable force (Lasso) meets immovable object (National Assembly) | Speevr

President Guillermo Lasso’s so-called “mega-bill” of reforms faces a complex path in the National Assembly (AN). The government has been talking openly about its “plan B” for a public referendum if/when the reforms reach a dead end in the legislature. Lasso’s popularity co…   Become a member to read the rest of this article Username […]

ECUADOR: Positive start for Lasso but challenges loom large

ECUADOR: Positive start for Lasso but challenges loom large | Speevr

The early part of President Guillermo Lasso’s presidency was always going to revolve around his pledge to vaccinate 9mn people in his first 100 days in office – the so-called Plan 9/100. Five weeks after his inauguration, the target still looks ambitious, though new supply agreem…   Become a member to read the rest of […]

ECUADOR: Lasso thwarts revival of left-leaning populism but going will be tough

ECUADOR: Lasso thwarts revival of left-leaning populism but going will be tough | Speevr

Former president Rafael Correa (2007-2017) suffered a resounding defeat yesterday, 11 April, as his proxy presidential candidate Andres Arauz lost to the conservative former banker Guillermo Lasso in a run-off vote. With 98% of votes counted, Lasso of the center-right Creating Op…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

ECUADOR: A complex horizon for whoever wins presidential run-off

ECUADOR: A complex horizon for whoever wins presidential run-off | Speevr

Campaigning officially ends tonight, 8 April, ahead of the 11 April presidential run-off vote. The vote comes down to a binary choice between populist leftism in the shape of Andres Arauz, and anti-Correismo, as represented by the conservative Guillermo Lasso. Polarization is acu…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

ECUADOR: Signs of late Lasso rally may not be enough against Arauz

ECUADOR: Signs of late Lasso rally may not be enough against Arauz | Speevr

Andres Arauz remains the marginal favorite ahead of the 11 April presidential run-off vote though the conservative Guillermo Lasso appears to have gained ground. Voter fragmentation and indecision complicate the outlook, as do calls to spoil ballots. The vote pits Lasso…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

ECUADOR: Electoral tussle drags on as IMF deal frays

ECUADOR: Electoral tussle drags on as IMF deal frays | Speevr

Officially, Andres Arauz of the leftist Union for Hope (UNES) coalition – whose leader in the shadows is former president Rafael Correa (2007-2017) – and Guillermo Lasso of the center-right Creating Opportunities (CREO) party will contest a run-off presidential vote on 11 April. …   Become a member to read the rest of this article

ECUADOR: Perez or Lasso – that is the question

ECUADOR: Perez or Lasso – that is the question | Speevr

With 97.85% of votes cast in the 7 February presidential election now counted, Andres Arauz of the leftist Union for Hope (UNES) coalition has won 32.16% of the vote. Yaku Perez of Pachakutik, the political arm of the Confederation of Indigenous Nationalities of Ecuador (Conaie),…   Become a member to read the rest of this […]

ECUADOR: Facing a binary choice

ECUADOR: Facing a binary choice | Speevr

With exactly a month to go before the first round of the presidential election, our base-case is that an April run-off will be necessary; this would pit the center-right candidate Guillermo Lasso against the leftist Andres Arauz. The uniting of the Right means that Lasso…   Become a member to read the rest of this […]

ECUADOR: Withdrawals favor Lasso but 2021 presidential field is crowded

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Guillermo Lasso of the center-right Creating Opportunities (CREO) party has the early advantage ahead of the 2021 presidential elections. Former president Rafael Correa’s legal problems could well thwart his aspirations for a comeback as vice-president. Political fragmenta…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

ECUADOR: 2021 election maneuvering moves up a gear

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Putative candidates are stepping up their preparations for the 2021 presidential elections, but the outlook remains clouded by uncertainty. The campaign will take place against a backdrop of a deep recession, persistent fiscal imbalances, and debt stress. Electoral unce…   Become a member to read the rest of this article