ETHIOPIA: Piling on sanctions pressure
US President Joe Biden today, 17 September, signed an executive order authorizing sanctions on Ethiopia. In the first instance, the order is an attempt to force ceasefire negotiations in the 10-month-old Tigray conflict. US Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s accompanying stateme… Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail […]
ETHIOPIA: Towards total war?
Following a brief interlude in late June, the Tigray conflict has escalated and broadened, spilling across domestic borders and sucking in combatants from other Ethiopian regions. This intensifies the risk of worst-case scenarios – a spiraling humanitarian crisis, ethnic c… Become a member to read the rest of this article
ETHIOPIA: Tigray’s turning point
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed may try to turn its military defeat in Tigray into a foreign relations advantage. The endgame in the conflict remains uncertain and bears risks for Ethiopia’s internal stability and even foreign disputes. While the onus is now on Tigray’s rebel… Become a member to read the rest of this article
ETHIOPIA: What to expect from the 21 June elections
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s Prosperity Party (PP) is widely expected to win the 21 June elections at the parliamentary level and in all the participating regional legislatures. However, the elections will only be partially conducted amid conflict and violence, casting doubt … Become a member to read the rest of this article
ETHIOPIA: Bondholders might be collateral, not target, of restructuring bid
International pressure is building on Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s administration over the conflict and humanitarian situation in Tigray. Yet Abiy will find it difficult to accommodate key demands, including the immediate withdrawal of Eritrean and Amhara regional forces … Become a member to read the rest of this article
ETHIOPIA: Bondholders might be collateral, not target, of restructuring bid
State Minister of Finance Eyob Tekalign has signaled that Ethiopia will try to restructure its external debt under the G20’s ‘Common Framework for Debt Treatments beyond the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI)’. Without a formal notification of creditors, the parameters of … Become a member to read the rest of this article
ETHIOPIA: Abiy takes Mekelle, but can he win the peace?
Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has announced what could be game-changing events in the one month-old conflictwith the Tigray regional leadership. Over the weekend, Abiy announced that the Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) had taken control of Tigray’s capital Mekelle, though t… Become a member to read the rest of this article
ETHIOPIA: Endgame unclear
Despite Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s repeated assurances that the military campaign in Tigray will end soon, little indicates that an end to hostilities is imminent. The two-week-old conflict between Addis Ababa and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) is spilling acro… Become a member to read the rest of this article
ETHIOPIA: PM’s blitzkrieg strategy could quickly turn into protracted conflict
The conflict between Addis Ababa and the Tigray region has escalated dramatically since fighting erupted on 4 November. Addis Ababa probably wants to quickly gain a tactical advantage to avoid becoming bogged down in a protracted conflict, and fend off mounting international opp… Become a member to read the rest of this article
ETHIOPIA: Can civil war still be avoided?
The standoff between Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s federal government and the Tigray region came to a head on 4 November. The prospects for a de-escalation look uncertain and a full-scale conflict would have implications well beyond Tigray’s borders. It is increasingly uncert… Become a member to read the rest of this article