Rafael Aguilar is studying Economics at the University of Buenos Aires.
He is currently Analyst in Econviews.
( 4 mins) Contrary to what the turbulent Argentine history of summer crises could foretell, the summer is ending more calmly than expected. The exchange rate spreads fell, the dollar did not jump sharply and activity is on
( < 1 min) Special Analysis on the Provinces’ Fiscal and Debt Situation We are happy to celebrate the 200 th edition of Econviews’ monthly report. Appropriately, our first edition in September 2003 centered on the ongoing debt restructuration,
( 3 mins) Controlling inflation has become a priority for the government on the road to elections. The high records of December and January, which are unlikely to recede much in February, have accelerated the search for recipes
( 3 mins) Last week, the government presented a bill to modify the income tax paid by individuals that is a step back from many angles. The central idea is that just over half of the salaried workers
( 4 mins) Since November 2011, Argentina has lived with financial restrictions except for three and a half years, from the beginning of 2016 to September 2019. The perspective is that it will have many more years of
( 4 mins) With the vaccination processes underway in most of the world, the general feeling is that the worst of the pandemic is behind us, although there is a way to go that will probably take much
( 4 mins) Those who are “at-risk groups” will remember February 6, 1989: that day the Plan Primavera in times of José Luis Machinea and Juan Sourrouille blew up. Convertibility began in April 1991 and was the product
( 2 mins) RECENT DEVELOPMENTS Worldwide, states must deal with shortages, bottlenecks and other logistical issues in the effort to vaccinate their populations against Covid-19. Argentina has applied around 200,000 shots of the Sputnik V vaccine, ahead of
( 3 mins) For a long time, our baseline scenario has been that Argentina reaches an agreement with the International Monetary Fund around March or April. Today the chances that this agreement is delayed until 2022 or at
( 3 mins) Minister Guzmán’s orthodox turn in early December crashed with politics. Since Cristina Kirchner’s speech in La Plata, many things have changed in the government’s economic approach. Perhaps the most important is the arsenal of tools
( 4 mins) Last Friday Alberto Fernández, Cristina Kirchner, Sergio Massa, Axel Kicillof, Máximo Kirchner, among other leaders of the governing coalition, gathered in La Plata to rename a football stadium after Diego Maradona. In terms of Argentine
( 4 mins) The monthly survey of market expectations carried out by the Central Bank among 42 economic teams revealed that the median of the responses is 50% inflation for next year. If the most optimistic and pessimistic
