PHILIPPINES: Duterte for VP next year is all sound and fury
On Tuesday, 24 August, President Rodrigo Duterte said that he is accepting the endorsement of his party, PDP-Laban, for him to run for the vice-presidency in the 9 May 2022 elections. In justifying his unconventional decision, Duterte said he wanted to “continue the crusade” agai… Become a member to read the rest of this […]
POLAND: Will PiS govern until the 2023 general election?
The departure of the junior coalition partner Agreement from the United Right coalition government and notable difficulties in advancing the controversial “lex TVN” bill in parliament earlier this month raise questions about whether Mateusz Morawiecki’s government still has a maj… Become a member to read the rest of this article
EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching
This updated weekly piece provides snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. Graph of the week Spain – The average … Become a member to read the rest […]
EUROPE: Three pandemic management scenarios for the fall
With levels of activity expected to ramp up after the summer holidays, significant uncertainty remains about the potential impact of Covid-19 across the continent in the coming months. Hopes of reaching herd immunity seem to be fading due to the aggressiveness of the Delta… Become a member to read the rest of this article
MALAYSIA: Is five decades of politics over?
The political dynamics that had kept Malaysian politics stable since the 1970s have been unravelling gradually over the past decade. The return of a United Malays National Organization (UMNO) politician to the prime ministership is not an automatic signal that the trend is… Become a member to read the rest of this article
GERMANY: The rise and rise of the SPD – Implications
Just over a month ahead of the 26 September Bundestag elections, momentum for the Social Democrats (SPD) appears to be growing. Their chancellor candidate, Finance Minister Olaf Scholz, has long been the most popular of the three contenders. Now, however, his party is also beginn… Become a member to read the rest of this […]
KENYA: Constitutional referendum dead, presidential succession less certain
On 20 August, the Court of Appeal upheld a high court ruling declaring several aspects of the Building Bridges Initiative (BBI) unconstitutional. The ruling represents another blow to President Uhuru Kenyatta’s and opposition leader Raila Odinga’s plans to amend the constitution … Become a member to read the rest of this article
Argentina: Special Analysis on Construction and Real Estate
I. Is there a way to turnaround the economy? Inflation, the exchange rate, and economic activity are moving in election mode. The government is using all its firepower to keep the main economic variables under control. Inflation, which had reached 4.8% in March is now hovering a… Become a member to read the rest […]
CHILE: Examining the presidential line-up and scenarios
The line-up of nine candidates competing for the 21 November presidential election is now complete. The radical left and center-right have the best chance of reaching the December run-off amid the ongoing struggles of the center-left. A fragmented line-up The top tier … Become a member to read the rest of this article
INDIA: Monetizing infrastructure – the devil is in the detail
The government has announced a massive plan for infrastructure development but will retain ownership of assets. State governments need to buy in for success. If it works, it can recover lost political ground for the Modi government. Even as India wrestles with a fear… Become a member to read the rest of this article