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ETHIOPIA: Cabinet reshuffle highlights fragile transition, conflict potential

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Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s 18 August cabinet reshuffle may further fuel tensions in his Oromia home region, with potential implications for stability and the elections (postponed until 2021). Domestic tensions may also complicate Abiy’s ability to compromise with Egypt and …   Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail […]

EUROPE: The differences between two waves

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European governments will only resort to nationwide lockdowns as a last resort. Countries will probably continue failing to coordinate their border policies. The coming days are crunch time for crucial decisions, such as whether to extend furlough schemes. As the numbe…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

TURKEY: A wider Coronavirus (and economic) calamity in the making?

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The Turkish authorities confirmed 1,263 new cases of the novel coronavirus on 18 August, bringing the tally to 251,805. The death toll reached 6,016 as 20 more people lost their lives. New daily cases have been above 1,000 every day since 4 August. They were last at this level a…   Become a member to […]

BELARUS: Lukashenko might go, but Russia’s influence will remain

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Targeted EU sanctions against individuals in President Alexander Lukashenko’s regime are symbolic and will, as such, not affect regime stability. As Russia seems well-positioned to retain its influence in Belarus regardless of the regime’s future, this increases the chance…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

ARGENTINA: Public disaffection and political weakness

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Major protests that took place across the country on 17 August indicate growing public restlessness on a variety of issues. The government has little to offer in response. Nor does the opposition, whose divisions have been underscored. With the Covid-19 situation still highly pro…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

MALI: Coup d’état sending jitters across the region

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On 18 August, mutinous soldiers arrested the increasingly unpopular President Ibrahim Boubacar Keita (‘IBK’) who declared his resignation and dissolved parliament in the evening. In a statement broadcast in the early hours of 19 August, the coup leaders promised to hand power b…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

Parkway Pantai: Good Brand with Limited Upside

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Summary Asset Class Credit Quality High yield Geography Singapore/ Malaysia Sector Healthcare Credit rating NR Report date 3-AUG-20 We initiate our coverage of Parkway Pantai Limited (Parkway Pantai), a wholly-owned sub…   Become a member to read the rest of this article