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CROATIA: HDZ better positioned to form coalition government after Sunday’s poll

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The Restart Coalition led by the opposition Social Democratic Party (SDP) will likely win the most mandates in the general election scheduled for 5 July, but the ruling Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) – expected to come in second – has better chances of forming a new coalition g…   Become a member to read the […]

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: Diverging health responses amid worsening economic outlook

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s latest regional economic update makes for grim reading, with dramatic downward revisions to the Fund’s April projections. Deteriorating economic performance – and the obvious resultant fiscal and political pressures for faster restarts…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

ASIA: Weekly politics update

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Below is the weekly update of political developments across East Asia. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. CHINA: HK Autonomy Act headed for approval On 1 July, the US House of Representatives passed the Hon…   Become a member to read […]

TURKEY: Fight against “immoral” social media is now personal for Erdogan

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President Tayyip Erdogan’s renewed threat to severely restrict social media platforms comes amid growing signs that his popular support is in long-term decline, particularly among young voters. Legislation requiring social media companies to establish a legal presence in the…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

BRAZIL: Evidence is king and may still change the course of politics

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As signaled here previously, fear of a possible annulment of the Bolsonaro-Mourao ticket at the electoral court (TSE), albeit serious from a cursory look, did not justify veiled threats by top-brass military presidential advisors of “institutional instability” – widely read as an…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

RUSSIA: Constitutional changes shed little light on Putin’s post-2024 plans

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Yesterday, 1 July, Russia concluded a week-long nationwide vote on 206 amendments to the country’s 1993 constitution. The approved constitutional amendments aim to give legitimacy to President Vladimir Putin’s potential re-election after his current term expires in 2024 and quell…   Become a member to read the rest of this article